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Our principal investment and market-risk management
tool has been developed
in-house. Using sophisticated computer-aided modeling programs,
BTS then conducts technical market analysis. All decisions made
are based on in-house analysis.
We use our models to identify and follow 60-120 day
market trends. Our objective is to be in a market for 75-80% of
an uptrend and out of a market for 75-80% of a downtrend.

Our trend analyses are based on the observation that,
historically, certain conditions have been closely associated with
price changes. BTS monitors these conditions daily and identifies
trends where possible.
It is important to note that we do not attempt to
predict trends. We believe that trends cannot be predicted consistently
over time, as the variables are simply too complex and volatile.
In fact, studies show that the famous prognosticators
are right only half the time over the long run! Anyone could match
their records just by flipping a coin.

The key to developing effective investment and risk
management programs is access to timely, detailed information. That
is why BTS maintains an extensive database in several computer systems.
Some of our data goes back to 1900, and new information
is added daily. Our systems professionals have spent thousands of
computer hours to create BTS' current models. Some of the technical
indicators and data sources which may be used in BTS' analysis include:
Liquidity is enhanced during significant market declines
by investing your assets in a stable price-per-share money market
fund. This could help you avoid loss in the instance where, in order
to meet unexpected or emergency needs, you would have to sell shares
at below their purchase price.
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Using BTS Tactical Asset Allocation Investment
Models, avoiding loss of principal is the key strategy for long-term
investment success. |
Since each market fluctuation contains the potential
for gain or loss, proper management of investment and market-risk
is crucial. Successful investing depends on the type of investment
(stocks,bonds,etc.), when you invest, and the duration of the investment.
Holding an investment too long, or not long enough, can make the
difference between a handsome gain and an ugly loss.
At BTS, we believe the best way to realize consistent
returns over time is to avoid large losses of principal during the
inevitable declines that all markets experience from time to time.
By following a disciplined defensive strategy in declining
markets, you can seek to preserve your capital and avoid a loss.
This positions you to take advantage of opportunities when the market
heads back up by purchasing more shares at a lower price.

How can investors pursue market-like returns and seek
to mitigate risk and protect principal with the prices of stocks,
bonds, mutual funds and variable annuities constantly fluctuating?
One solution is investment market risk management
strategies provided by BTS Asset Management. Since 1979, we have
been developing effective investment and market risk management
programs for mutual fund and variable annuity clients seeking income
and/or total return over a 5 to 7 year period.
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