GROWTH PROGRAM
More concerned with maximizing long-term returns than minimizing possible short-term losses. Seeks Capital Appreciation.
U.S. Large Cap Equity
47
%
U.S. Small Cap Equity
14
%
International Equity
11
%
Intermediate-Term U.S. Gov't./Corp Bonds
22
%
Cash
6
%

Expected Return 1
8.74
%
Standard Deviation 2
10.35
%

% Equity
72
%
% Fixed Income
28
%

 

Note: All values in percent.

The Growth Investor:

The growth investor is more concerned about maximizing long-term returns rather than minimizing possible short-term losses.

Portfolio:

Growth

Appropriate Time Horizon:

Ten years or more

Portfolio Characteristics:

High volatility

Seeks to have at least a 90% chance of achieving a non-negative return over a 3-year holding period. There is still some marginal protection against downside risk, but a lesser degree of concern with short-term loss potential is assumed.

Seeks to have at least a 75% chance of keeping pace with expected inflation over the 3-year holding period and 90% chance over a 5-year span.*

Seeks to beat expected inflation by approximately 9% over a 20-year holding period. This long-term real return is approximately three times that of the conservative portfolio, and one and a half times that of the moderate portfolio, but also involves increased risk of loss of principal.

The actual performance of a given asset allocation model may be greater or less than the projected return.

*The criteria is the same for all investors. It is assumed that a high probability of achieving the minimal investment goal of keeping pace with inflation is desired by all investors over this typical period of investment performance evaluation.

1. The Expected Return for a particular investment objective is a weighted average of the expected returns of each asset class. The expected return of a particular asset class is calculated by adding historical risk premiums associated with that asset class to the current risk free rate, which is the yield on a 20-year U.S. Treasury bond, as reported in the Wall Street Journal on May , 1999. Weighting of each asset class may change in response to changes in market conditions as determined by Ibbotson Associates.

2. The Expected Standard Deviation is a measure of market volatility. It is calculated by taking the past performance of the various asset classes and determining the range of possible future performances. A probability is attached to the chances of the portfolio performance deviating from the expected return. The greater the probability, the greater the risk.

 

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